The Real Risk to the Global Economy


The greatest political risk to global markets today, then, is that the key players shaping investor expectations undergo a fundamental realignment.

Most concerning of all is the United States, which is now seeking to carve out a new global role for itself under President Donald Trump.

By withdrawing from international agreements and trying to renegotiate existing trade deals, the US has already become less predictable. Looking ahead, if Trump and future US leaders continue to engage with other countries through zero-sum transactions rather than cooperative institution-building, the world will be unable to muster a joint response to the next period of global market turmoil.

Source: The Real Risk to the Global Economy

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